Saturday, September 15, 2012

Ohio State Recap



Man, what a game. The Bears came into the Horseshoe as significant underdogs and lost 28-35 to the Buckeyes in a close game.

First off, I understand people are disappointed by the result of the game. Everyone would have loved for the Bears to go have gone into ‘Shoe and pulled off the upset. And many will spend the next week or more dissecting every gaffe and questioning every coaching decision. There will be some of that in this post as well. But as a Cal fan, and a college football fan, can we just take a step back and appreciate a good game when we see one? Because that was a competitive contest, with a Cal team showing more life than one we’ve seen all season, so let’s appreciate and enjoy that for now, as much as the bad taste of a loss creeps its way into the back of our throats.

With that said, this game was one that was absolutely in reach. The game wasn’t a fluke, nor should we be applauding moral victories here. The Bears were the better team for most of the game, but were undone by some painful missed opportunities and poor officiating. Let’s get into the specifics.

Defense - the Victim of Busted Assignments
Overall, the defense far surpassed my expectations. They did solidly against a quarterback and offense that had shown the ability to roll defenses, and it was a frightening endeavor for a defense that had been torched by mobile quarterbacks. Yet, the Bears kept a net around Braxton Miller, and didn’t allow him to gash them for a ridiculous number of yards.

If you take away Braxton Miller’s 55 yarder, Cal’s defense held Miller to just 20 yards on 11 carries (1.8 ypc). By the way, speaking of that run, the Bears were actually in pretty good position there, Miller just put a ridiculous PS2 L2 button move on safety Alex Logan there to bust out for the score. That’s a running back playing QB there folks.

The Bears defense really buckled down after giving up three TDs early in the game, and shut out the Buckeyes in the 3rd quarter. Where they Bears killed themselves though were on busted assignments in pass coverage.

OSU’s final TD came on a busted coverage assignment between DB Marc Anthony and safety Alex Logan. It looked like Anthony was passing off WR Devin Smith to safety help on top, but Logan was caught spying Miller and completely lost Smith behind him. At least that’s what it looked like. But if you’re a safety, you can’t let a receiver get behind you. The result was a 72 yard score and the deciding score.

On top of that, Cal’s safeties failed to locate OSU’s tight ends in goal line situations, leading to two easy scores. I understand with OSU being a running team that you have to respect the run, but you can’t completely lose the TE like that. Especially not twice.


Quarterback Play
Anyone who thinks Maynard is the reason we lost this game is on meth. Like Walter White quality meth.

Look, I understand people are going to point at Maynard’s interception that iced the game for the Buckeyes, and polish their pitchforks.

But get off it. It’s getting tiresome. I’m not telling you to rave about Maynard. But up until Brendan Bigelow exploded in the second half, he was the best thing going for the Bears’ offense in the game.

Maynard was 26-37 for 280 yards, two TDs (one rushing) and that late pick. Given the hostile environment, the multiple drops, the low snaps, and the fact that he was getting destroyed in the backfield, I thought he played a very solid game. He didn’t force many throws, he showed solid accuracy, and managed this offense. You know he wishes he had that last pass back, but this was a blotch on what was overall a solid performance.

So I’m not going to argue that Maynard is an elite quarterback. Not even close. But I do know that I’ve seen enough from Maynard to know that this team can win more games than it can lose with him at QB, if the rest of the team holds their weight.


Coaching Decisions
Coach Tedford’s decision to elect for the 42 yard field goal on 4th and 1, tied 28-28 late in the game is the one likely to draw the most ire from Cal fans. After all, Vincenzo D’Amato had just missed two field goals from around the same distance earlier in the game.

It was a tough call. I felt like it could have gone either way. I understand the sentiment that not going for it shows a lack of trust in the offense to pick up the yard. But some might forget that the Bears had also gone 0-2 on 4th down in the game as well. So you’re looking at 0-2 on field goals, and 0-2 on 4th down.

Ultimately, I can understand the decision to go for it. You got to try and take the lead there with the way Cal’s defense had been playing up until that point in the second half. Even if you pick up the first down, you may only be setting yourself up for a slightly shorter FG. What I didn’t like though, was the timeout before the FG. You effectively ice your own kicker, and you could have used it later in the game.

I won’t disagree with people who say that the Bears should have gone for it, but I will disagree with those who say it was a no brainer of a decision.


Offensive Line Play
The result of an offensive line featuring four new starters and one playing his third game at a different position? A line that allows 6 sacks to a defensive line that had managed just two going into the game.

While one or two of the sacks were due to the Buckeyes stacking the box, the Bears just lost one-on-one battles with OSU’s front seven. They were late in communicating pressure, and just showed bad technique and leverage in some other situations.

The problems were made worse with the number of low snaps we saw from center Brian Schwenke. This was one of the more surprising elements given that Schwenke had for the most part been solid in this area up until this game. But there were multiple low snaps throughout the game. Granted, it’s always better to have low snaps than high snaps, but it does so much to disrupt the rhythm of an offense when the quarterback is always having to spend an extra second to locate the ball, scoop it out of the dirt, and then get his eyes up to look downfield. That’s gotta get cleaned up.

Overall, this offensive line has me more concerned going forward than other unit on the team. It’s not a matter of just cleaning up mental mistakes. This is a makeshift offensive line that’s just flat out getting beat against defenders.


Playmakers Emerging on Offense
The Bears have some real nice playmakers beginning to make a name for themselves on offense.

Chris Harper scored his second TD of the year continuing his strong play, and Bryce Treggs contributed as well with 3 catches for 28 yards. Darius Powe finally made an appearance, catching two balls for 44 yards.

All of this is in addition to the 8 catches and 90 yards Keenan Allen recorded. And don't discount what Allen does in sucking up double and triple coverage, giving the younger receivers some one on one matchups. You’ve got to think the wide receiving corps is going to be in good shape for years to come.

But the big story is the emergence of Brendan Bigelow. Bigelow showed the type of speed and big play ability fans hoped for when the Bears recruited them two years ago. Bigelow led the Bears with 160 yards on 4 carries, with a ridiculous 81 yarder in the third quarter. Bigelow bounced off tackles, hit the spin move button twice and ran away from the defense in one of the best runs I’ve seen from a Cal back in years. He then added a 59 yarder later in the fourth.

Coach Gould, please give Bigelow the ball more. Please. He’s back. He doesn’t have to be the primary back, but get the ball in his hands. When he’s making OSU look like a high school squad, you know you’ve got something. Please.


Missed Opportunities on Special Teams
The Bears lost 28-35. Vincenzo D’Amato missed three field goals which would have provided 9 points. Do the math.

Look I’m not going to pile on a player who is likely feeling like the loneliest player in that locker room right now. But man, you’ve got to make at least one of the field goals. It wouldn’t have been the difference, but who knows how the game turns with a 3 point lead late in the game?

I said at the beginning of the year that people were underestimating the effect of not having a season kicker on the team. We all saw first hand how significant special teams are in a close game.


Penalties/Bad Calls
The Bears actually played a flag-free first quarter and this offense looked pretty good in the process.

Things fell apart though in Cal’s second to last possession in the second quarter. CJ Anderson made an amazing grab to haul in a pass from Zach Maynard, only to have his long catch and run negated by a holding call on TE Jacob Wark. I’m sorry, but that was not a hold. Wark kept his hands inside the defender's jersey the entire time, it was just bad leverage from the OSU defender.

Another bad call on guard Chris Adcock, who continued to play after the whistle but was flagged for unnecessary roughness because the OSU defender tried to spear Adcock with his head only to have his helmet fly off. What?

Then there’s the CJ Anderson catch that was ruled incomplete, though it was clear CJA got his foot down.

It got so bad that even the ABC announcers were lamenting about the Big-10 referee bias.

Some of the pains were self-inflicted however, with Jordan Rigsbee losing position and holding an OSU defender to wipe out what would have been 3rd and goal from the two yard line for the Bears after a QB draw by Maynard.

Look, it’s not like the Bears would have rolled the Buckeyes without the bad calls. But in a game when the Bears were doing all they could to pull the upset, it’s maddening to have the game held in the balance of some terrible officiating.

The silver lining here is that despite the sloppy second quarter, the Bears played much cleaner ball after that, with just one false start penalty late in the fourth quarter.


Moving Forward
Does this team have some major question marks? Absolutely. The makeshift offensive line has yet to gel and special teams will need to find answers in consistency.

But the Bears showed signs of life. They did more than what many could have expected by playing a tough road game in one of the most hostile environments in college football. They played their hearts out on the field.

Did they show enough to indicate they’re going to knock off USC next weekend? Not really, but they showed they just might be back to being the type of team that fans had envisioned competing hard in the Pac-12 week in, week out. Playmakers are emerging, the defense is showing signs of life, and for all of the knocks on Maynard, he is indeed better than where he was last year.

Tough loss, and this is likely a 1-3 team after next week, but I’ve gone from thinking this team won’t be bowl eligible to thinking they’ve got a shot at doing some things in the rest of conference play. It’s why we play the games.


7 comments:

oz said...

bigelow's bionic knee!!

Bear with Fangs said...

We can rebuild him. We can make him stronger. We can give him a spin move.

oz said...

i really hate the term "moral victory", but i'll take what i can get from this team this year

mike13050 said...

As someone posting here for the first time let me express my thanks for this site. Your hard work does not go unnoticed.

The one area which you failed to measure was ‘Coaching’. While your comments about the 3rd and 1 sequence state the obvious, I’d like to offer some additional thoughts. First, an elite coach addresses this situation as a two-call scenario. Such a coach would determine his 3rd down call based upon the two possible outcomes. If the 3rd down play fails, the elite coach already knows what his next play is going to be.

Assuming that Tedford took this approach his analysis was if Stevens, who had already romped for 11 yards on the day, fails to make the yard, we’re going to attempt the field goal. Therefore, will all of the possible two-play calls at his disposal, Tedford selects a dive into the teeth of the OSU defense followed by a field goal attempt by a kicker with two previous misses and 100,000 hostile fans in his head. That is not a decision an elite coach makes. Does anyone think Urban Meyer makes that call? Player execution is what it is, but coaching decisions determine outcomes when 17 point underdog teams play to within five minutes of victory.

Coaching Part II. So now OSU scores, three minutes left and inexplicably they kick off to Bigelow. Seriously, you are going to kick it to the one silver bullet left in the Bears’ arsenal? No worries though, he takes a knee.

First, it isn’t Bigelow’s fault, you could tell he was itching to bring it out. The upback motioned him to take a touchback and maybe on every other kickoff that would have been the smart play. But prior to the kickoff Tedford et al didn’t gather the return team and tell them if for some bizarre reason OSU is going to kick the ball to Bigelow, no matter how deep, he’s going to bring it out. Really, the risk/reward factor is so tilted even the television announcers were dumbfounded. That was not an elite coaching decision.

(Sidebar—Cal special teams are anything but, not because of talent but because of coaching. A rugby kick for 18 yards? You can’t blame execution as much as the call by the coach. But that’s a rant for another day.)

I will forever be grateful to Tedford for resurrecting the program post-Holmoe. But let’s be candid, it didn’t take much to step over the bar left by Holmoe. That is not to diminish anything Tedford has done but it is obvious he is no longer an elite coach.

Thanks again for the site.

angrybear said...

I liked what I saw and agree that at the end of the day, since I was expecting a '09 type Oregon beat down, this was actually quite bearable. Defense played about as well as they will ever play, except for the busted assignments. Maynard played about as well as he will ever play (including the interception). Other than the two bigelow runs, run game was meh. So I guess the question is, have we seen the ceiling for this year's Cal team (not counting special teams which can only go up from here)? Next question is, how overrated was/is Ohio State? They seem to be overrated every year (at least in recent memory) and this year seems no different given that they almost choked at home to a mediocre, bottom-dwelling Pac-12 team. Or maybe they just really overlooked us because we looked like a FCS team the first two weeks. Either way, point is that I don't know how much stock I would put in playing a competitive game against a team like OSU. Last question, what are the chances that USC is still too busy licking their wounds to give us a shot next week? They probably still thrash us, right?

As always, appreciate the good posts.

Bear with Fangs said...

Mike13050,

First off, thanks for your comments and insight. I appreciate well thought out comments such as these.

Secondly, you're right. Some of the coaching decisions weren't reflective of elite coaching. And especially in hindsight do I agree with the decision to go for it, and to better set up the 3rd down play and not using the timeout before it. Though, I did think it was a tough call in the moment.

As for the special teams call, you're right, I want Bigelow to send it out, and make sure to tell Manuel to let him fly. But perhaps Manuel saw something in the coverage unit, or a breakdown in blocking. Not sure. And keep in mind that Bigelow had averaged just under 25 yards a return leading up that play, so you're effectively risking a turnover for the same type of field position. Again, I would want Bigelow to take it, but I didn't see what the coaches saw, so I can't say with the utmost certainty.

I wholeheartedly agree with your earlier point that there were moments that showed the absence of elite coaching. But I could just as easily argue all the moments that showed very good coaching, those that helped prepare the Bears in a team very much ready to play and going toe to toe with a ranked team on the road. Even OSU players mentioned how they been outcoached in many regards, from the playcalling to preparation. Though it's that FG decision that will get the most attention, and in many ways, deservedly so.

But again, thanks for your comments and I look forward to more. And always, thanks for reading.

Bear with Fangs said...

Angrybear,

The funny thing about college football is, you never know what a team's ceiling is until you watch the season fold out. There are plenty of instances of teams getting out to slow starts, only to get better and better each week, where they are a remarkably different team by the end of the season.

I don't think this team is close to its potential, though you did see flashes. I think if the offensive line can gel, there are enough playmakers on offense to do some really impressive things if we can see some balance in playcalling.

Defensively, we're a bit feast or famine, though the famine moments seem to be occurring right now because of mental lapses, as opposed to being physically incapable of performing. You'd hope that improves over time.

As for OSU, I'm not going to argue they're close to being an elite team, but I think they do belong in the Top 25 as long as Braxton Miller is their QB. Without them, they fall tremendously.

You can't put your entire stock in this week's game. You take the good with the bad. We know what the Bears can do when they're clicking, and we know how bad they can look when they're not. From here on out, it's all about cleanup.