Tuesday, July 27, 2010

ESPN Chat with Justin Forsett

ESPN had a chance to chat with former Cal runningback and current Seattle Seahawk.

The chat was your typical friendly banter, but a few fans did ask about Forsett's college experience with Coach Carroll.

Brodie (Iowa)

I see you went to Cal.. have you noticed Coach Carroll doing anything different then his days at USC?

Justin Forsett (4:12 PM)

It's not weird playing for him now, but we go back and forth with the games we played against each other. Everything that I've seen from him is things I saw from him at USC.

You can read the rest of the interview here.
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Monday, July 26, 2010

NYC Cal Reception with Jeff Tedford and Sandy Barbour

Just got back from the New York Cal Reception with Cal Head Coach Jeff Tedford and Athletic Sandy Barbour, two of my most favoriteist Bears out there.

It was a jolly ole time, and I must say, $10 for food, open bar and a chance to hear Barbour and Tedford talk is about as good of a deal as you're going to get in the city. That, and chicken and rice on 53rd and 6th.


Anyway, on to recapping the event. Here's my best effort in summarizing what was said. I didn't have a tape recorder (which would have been useless anyway due to noise level), and I had already taken full advantage of the open bar at this point. But here's to a modest effort.

Sandy Barbour was introduced after a brief introduction, and essentially praised the amazing things happening with Cal athletics (9th in the director's cup), as well as the great things happening in the classroom as well. She highlighted the graduation rate among football players being in the 40 percent range prior to Tedford's arrival, and how now that rate was now in the 80s. In addition, Cal has seen the Bears take home conference and national championships this year (like Men's bball and rugby respectively), so much praise all around.

Tedford then came on, and reiterated a number of points from offseason media clippings. Best way to start the talk though was his emphasis on his love for Cal, and how he wouldn't stop until the Bears won the Rose Bowl.

Also, shout outs to Mrs. Tedford, and BOOM, Eric Levy and "Big Game hero" Steve Levy are in the house!!! (Cue Oprah cheer)

He talked about the consistent success the Bears have had, but emphasized the need to get over the "hump."

Quarterback Kevin Riley
Not too much time was spent talking about the QB position, but Tedford did say that while there would be competition at the spot, that Riley would be taking first team snaps in the fall. He reiterated that Riley was the active leader in conference wins (15-8) at QB, and was tied with Jake Locker for most starts.

He did say that he felt Riley would see a bit of a "breakout year" this year. And yes, he did say "breakout." Or was it "breakthrough?" I don't remember. I was still drinking.

New Facilities and SAHPC
He believed that the new facilities would be one of the key pieces to getting over the hump, especially in regards to helping the national recruiting base. He talked about how the facilities hadn't changed in what seemed like 80 years, and how difficult it was to have recruits come for visits. He recounted how they had just visited campuses at Tennessee or Michigan or Texas the weeks prior, and upon seeing our facilities, had the look of wanting to hop on the next flight out. It was obviously a bit of a joke, but one could tell how much he was stressing the importance of facilities.

He said the new facilities are a reality at this point, and that he has seen them and feels that everyone will be happy when they see the final product.

Strong Recruiting Class
He talked a bit about the strength of this recruiting class and that Keenan Allen was most likely to be in contention for immediate playing time. He praised the impact he has had since coming to campus this summer and that he "hasn't been letting anyone down." He also mentioned that Allen was even bigger than when they had been recruiting him, so it looks like Allen has been hitting the weights seriously.

He also talked about David Wilkerson and Nick Forbes probably making an immediate impact. He gave a brief mention of Chris Martin's departure, which was near verbatim what he stated his press release, what with the distractions and everything.

No mention of Cecil Whiteside. (More on that at the end of the evening.)


Road Game Schedule
A question was asked about our upcoming road schedule. He stated the benefit of only having 5 road games, but specifically mentioned Arizona, and the difficulties we've had with them on the road. "They've spoiled the party for us." He praised Mike Stoops though, and said there will be extra attention given to preparing for that game (first conference game of the season).

Expectations
Although he cited success early on in the season, he admitted that the Bears have not finished well. There will be a focus on competitive excellence. He stated that he felt that if they focused on that, that they had to ability to beat anyone on their schedule.

Runningback Depth Chart
Tedford said that we all knew what Vereen could do, but stressed the importance of creating depth at the RB position. After his 42 carry performance at Stanford, he was never quite the same for the rest of the season.

Isi Sofele was the first name mentioned and stated that he had been doing a "real nice job." This further adds to my suspicion that Sofele may potentially jump to second on the depth chart by the time of the season opener.

He also mentioned Covaughn Deboskie-Johnson, and Dasarte Yarnway, but no specific analysis or praise was given.

USC Sanctions and Effects on Recruiting
Some interesting points came up when a question was asked about USC Sanctions and its effects on recruiting. Tedford mentioned the NCAA rules that prohibited sanctioned players from transferring to conference schools, so while they received some calls from USC players who wanted to transfer to Cal, they weren't allowed to really have that conversation with them. Makes one wonder who those players were.

While Tedford said that they hadn't realized too much of the effect of the sanctions yet, thought they might see a bit more so as the year goes on.

So Who Won Between Jahvid Best and Desean Jackson's Footrace?
The questions never dies! At this point, a smile came across Tedford's face, and you could tell he was proudly recounting the story as if it were yesterday. Tedford said a race really only happened once. Everyone wanted to see it and were crowded around the two.

As the race began, Jahvid jumped out to a bit of an early lead. Tedford said he could tell there was some level of mutual or possible elder respect, so Jahvid looked over at Desean as they were running, and backed off a bit, letting Desean win the race.

He said those two (Desean and Jahvid) were the fastest on the field--ever. "I promise you that...You can't teach that speed."

Balanced Offense
"Are we going to be a bit more balanced on offense this year, instead of relying on such a heavy run game?"

A tough question, this time by a kid in the audience. Like at the Coach's Tour, Tedford joked that kids asked the toughest questions. Likely because their parents put them up to it.

Tedford did admit that that would be important for the team to succeed this year. He also mentioned something I've been thinking for a while, which was that the team would need a higher percentage passing game. And by that he didn't mean completing more passes, but rather pulling back a bit on trying to throw the ball down field as much, and trying to throw more higher percentage passes. He really wanted to avoid those third and longs.

[Blogger's note: Wholeheartedly agree. How many times do we remember a 1st down run for 1-2 yards, an incomplete streak or post pattern, and a resulting 3rd and 8?]

Offensive Line
Chris Guarnero was the first mentioned, and mentioned multiple times, so it seems like a near lock based on Tedford's comments that he will be the starting center. Matt Summers-Gavin was also mentioned, along with Mitchell Schwartz, Donovan Edwards, Brian Schwenke, and Dominic Galas. I thought it was interesting to hear Edwards' name mentioned at the top of the list, as he's often forgotten by Cal fans, but this blogger thinks he's the Bears most versatile OL player, and the likely the first one off the bench in nearly any situation this season.

Tedford stated that with the O-line, it's not so much about finding the top 5 players, but really the top 8-9 players who have the most chemistry. In reality, there are going to be injuries this season, and that it is important to create some depth there.

[Blogger's Note:I'm already shuddering at the idea of MSG missing another game. I kill the rest of my beer and order another.]

Rush Linebacker Position
A question I was going to ask regarded the rush linebacker position. The first name mentioned was Keith Browner, and that Mychal Kendricks might be moved to the outside to fill the gap there. Jarred Price is likely to be a third down specialist.

The question involved Gabe King, and the chances we'd see him in that spot. Tedford said that they'd have to see what he can do given that he's coming off a foot injury. He did say that he would imagine that King would play the defensive end position. He wasn't sure that King had the versatility to stay in coverage so King was likely to stick at DE.

Harbaugh Annoying?
Tedford answered a question by stating that Stanford Coach Jim Harbaugh wasn't really as annoying as he appeared, although Tedford was likely being kind. He did say it was nice to actually shake his hand on field though. *Smiles.*

Walk-On Kickers?
Some guy in the crowd stated that he had a year of eligibility left and asked if he could walk on as kicker. To which Tedford responded, "How fast can you be here?"

[Blogger's note: I do not think Giorgio Tavecchio is amused. I take a shot for my Italian brother. And no, I am not Italian.]

(Crowd laughter.)

Greatest Play in Tedford's Mind?
A lot of plays stood out Tedford, most recently Mike Mohammed's interception to seal the win in the big game. Also, the first play of his tenure (the halfback pass) stood out as well.

He recounted some big wins, including the Michigan State game his first season which really proved to the country as well as to the team itself that they were going to be competitive and were for real.

He also praised the 2003 Insight Bowl against Virginia Tech.

Cornerback Depth
The first name out interestingly was a player who didn't play at all in Spring, Darian Hagan. He also mentioned Bryant Nnabuife and Josh Hill. Tedford also stated that a young guy who is going to play a lot for us this year is Steve Williams. I quote, "We have a guy, Steve Williams, who is probably the best cover corner we've had here." He even compared him to Syd'Quan Thompson.

(Wow. Given the quality of cover corners we've had here, including Hughes and Thompson, that's saying a lot about a RS frosh).

Tedford then also mentioned Marc Anthony as a candidate.

Moving on to the safeties, Sean Cattouse and Chris Conte are our best bets at the safety positions. Overall, Tedford seemed pleased with the depth with this unit, and said that "secondary looks solid."

Wide Receivers other than Marvin Jones
First name up was Jeremy Ross, but Tedford also praised oft-injured Michael Calvin as a player who has stepped up big time for us. (I guess those summer workout reports are true.)

Tedford also mentioned Alex Lagemann, but also mentioned incoming WRs Coleman Edwards and Tevin Carter as being very fast. He said all the incoming WRs were sub 10.8 and 10.6 guys (in the 100m dash).

As for whether Carter would redshirt, it would depend on how fast he understands the offense, but he does have the ability to help us.

Switch to 4-3?
A question was posed, that given the depth at the tackle position, whether there would a change to the 4-3 might be considered. Tedford answered with an emphatic "NO. We're a 3-4 team."

However, he did say that we would see things this year that look like a four or five man front, which only affirms the benefit of the 3-4 scheme in creating diversity defensively.

Non-Conference Schedule
Tedford mentioned Colorado being scheduled for 2011, but wasn't sure how that would play out with the impending Pac-12 shift.

Northwestern is scheduled for 2012, and Ohio State (big applause and some confused Buckeye fan cheering loudly) scheduled the year after.

Texas is scheduled after that (a few hisses from the crowd and a "Get at Mack Brown" is loudly heard.)

[Blogger's note: Alcohol and the mention of Texas and Mack Brown gets my blood boiling. I make eye contact with Steve Levy and think of chucking my pint glass.]

Reasons for the end-of-season meltdown?
Nope. (laughter, though this blogger is not laughing.) Really, the last two games stretched the team's depth, and stated the team lacked firepower with both Jahvid and Shane not being completely healthy.

But he chalked those reasons up to being excuses and took a lot of responsibility for the lack of motivation. He gave credit to Washington, stating it was their last game, but still, regardless of recorded, stated that the team should play the same and compete every down and every play.

"What happened at Washington last year should never happen. We've lost games before, but we've never lost games where we were outscored like that."

[Blogger's note: I vaguely remember Oregon (42-3) and USC (32-3), but it's all a hazy blur. I am hiccuping annoyingly.]

Leaders this Year
When asked about leaders, Tedford stated that it would really have to be by committee this year. While there was no one quite like a Zack Follett, the most obvious leader was ILB Mike Mohammed. While Mohammed wasn't the most vocal guy, Tedford said that the things Mohammed says to the rest of the guys in the huddle definitely motivates them.

As for who would catch the fans' or cameras' attention on gamedays in terms of getting the team pumped, Sean Cattouse would likely fill that role.

But Tedford then rattled a number of players who could could be deemed as leaders on defense, including Trevor Guyton, DJ Holt, Derrick Hill, etc.

Young Quarterbacks
Tedford stated Beau Sweeney and Brock Mansion were behind Riley in the depth chart. He mentioned that Allan Bridgford had been recovering verl well, and that Austin Hinder would have to mature a bit physically. He listed Hinder as being 6'4 and only 170 pounds or so.

[Blogger: Dayam, that's about the same weight as THA1, and with about 6 inches. Hinder needs Muscle Milk. Or whatever Carrot Top is taking.]

Tedford also listed a recruit who he can't talk about, but that would be Kyle Boehm.

Cecil Whiteside's Eligibility
Tedford had time to field one last question, and you could see the obvious disappointment when it regarded incoming player Cecil Whiteside.

Tedford stated that Whiteside's academics were being evaluated by the NCAA, and that there was a high possibility that he was going to greyshirt, and come in during January.

[Blogger's note: That's a bummer, but I'm thinking that if it's an NCAA eligibility issue, that might mean Whiteside may not have the option of transferring to a school like ASU? I don't know. I'm getting beer hunger pangs and am craving Crif Dog.]

Tedford thanked us for coming out, and said if any of us ever made it back to California, that we always had a home. Aww, I can't wait to move in with the Tedfords in their Danville mansion. It'll be the next great reality show. "Hanging with the Tedfords!"

Go Bears!
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Chris Martin to Transfer

My reaction to Chris Martin's transfer.

In a stunning turn of events, incoming OLB/DE freshman Chris Martin has announced that he plans on transferring from Cal. Martin was one of the top rated defensive end prospects in the country, and was Cal's biggest defensive recruit during in the Tedford era next to ATH Keenan Martin.

Both Martin and Tedford released the following statements:

Martin:
“My decision to transfer definitely does not reflect on the football program or the academics at Cal,” said Martin, a native of Oakland. “Rather, I feel like for me to focus and truly reach my potential I need to leave many of the distractions I have here at home in the Bay Area. I need to venture away from home and start my college career somewhere else where I don’t have those distractions.”

Tedford:
“This is a decision that Chris and his family have made to do what they feel is in the best interest of Chris,” said Tedford. “We wish Chris the best as he pursues his college football career. It is always important for young men to make the correct decisions to be able to reach their full potential. I understand his concern with the continued outside distractions he’s facing, and I support Chris and his decision to transfer. I wish him and his family all the best.”

More after the jump.



In addition to being a prized recruit, Martin was instrumental in helping to assemble the current recruiting class, one of the Bears' best ever, acting as a bit of an ambassador for Cal in urging other recruits to join the Bears.

The news is surprising and fairly devastating as Martin was one of the few freshman expected to come in an play right away. He had the skills and size to possibly compete for a starting spot at the outside linebacker position.

As it stands, with the Bears having dismissed OLB Chris Little, and with another incoming recruit, OLB Cecil Whiteside's eligibility uncertain due to academic reasons, the Bears suddenly find themselves with strong concerns about their defensive depth for the upcoming season. Specific concerns arise as to what who will step up as the Bears' premier pass rusher.

What reasons Martin has for transferring, I can't say for certain, but let's hope it really is for his best long term. It certainly seems like it will hurt the Bears for the time being.
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Monday, July 19, 2010

Vote for the Cal Billboard Ads

Quick bit of info for those starving for Cal football news. Apparently the Cal Athletic Department needs your help in deciding which five images will be posted around the Bay Area to promote Cal's upcoming season of awesomeness.

You can vote as many times as you want, so Head over to the official site to give your vote. The images are all pretty spiffy if I do so say so myself.

My one gripe is that the following photo wasn't an option:
"Get your Season Tickets because you know wassup."

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Tuesday, July 13, 2010

NCAA Football 2011 Arrives Today!

(by 4EverGolden over at California Golden Blogs.
Head over and check out the rest of fantastic covers!)


NCAA Football 2011 is in stores today. And unlike the boys over at California Golden Blogs, I am volunteering to schill this game. Because despite its numerous flaws, I am an avid NCAA gamer.

First off, there's a rich history of BearswithFangs and NCAA gaming.


The list goes on. But to give you a sense of avid of a player I am with NCAA, let's just say this: In my copy of NCAA 2008, I'm currently in year 2032 in dynasty mode. That's right, that's 24 seasons. My starting QB is Nate Longshore Jr. and my starting WR is Desean Jackson the III. Don't ask me how that happened.

It got so bad, that I think I literally broke the game, and eventually my system. My screen began getting fuzzy during my 108-3 romp over the Furd in my most recent Big Game, and the Xbox completely shut down. I didn't even get a read ring of death, just an error screen that looked like this:



WTF?

So I might pick up a copy of 2011. Or I'll hope that one of the three people who read this blog is an EA rep who has the clout to send me a free copy. Hear that?

Ahem, keep reading for some Cal related info about the game:


The Bears are rated as being:

Overall: B
Offense: B+
Defense: B+


Interesting. I'd rate the offense as being higher than the defense at this point, given the questions we have at some critical spots in the secondary and at outside linebacker, but it is what it is.

A new feature for the game is the emphasis on the various offensive styles. Cal is well known for featuring a pro style offense. You can read a good breakdown of this style of EA's NCAA Football Blog.

"A Pro Style Offense for us is simply an offensive system that's used in college football that closely resembles those that are used in professional football. The majority of Pro Style Offenses want to be balanced on offense between the run and the pass. That doesn't necessarily mean they want to run half of the time and throw the other, but rather it means they want to do either whenever the situation calls for a run or pass. A downhill running game is also important to coaches who run a Pro Style Offense. Being able to run the ball helps control the time of possession as well as setting up the play action passing game."

Anyway, check out the game, as it does look like it's made some nice improvements, most notably the AI in blocking schemes.

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Monday, July 12, 2010

Kyle Boehm Highlights

Here are some very short highlights featuring Cal QB Commit Kyle Boehm from the Passing Down Elite 7-7 Tournament this past weekend.



The highlights are from the championship game in which Boehm's team Pro Sport prevailed 14-12 over the Drillers. You can see two of Boehm's passes in the latter half of the video. Again not too much to look at, but it's something, and something recent at that.

More highlights after the jump.


The tournament was a bit anticipated by some Cal recruiting junkies, given that Cody Kessler, a USC commit and former Cal recruit also participated. Kessler's team prevailed in that contest, and handed Pro Sport their only loss of the evening in pool play.

Boehm would have the last laugh however, as he took home the MVP award while leading his team Pro Sport to the championship. You can read a breakdown of the QB evaluations here on Scout, in which Kessler was rated a bit higher.

I wouldn't take too much out of these tournaments, as a 7-7, two hand touch game doesn't say too much about a QB's potential at the next level. But it's good to see Boehm put himself out there more and rise up some recruiting charts.

For some better highlights of Boehm, check out his highlights here.




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Tuesday, July 6, 2010

Just How Good Will Shane Vereen Be?

SKYLER REID/FILE

“Shane Vereen is coming back, and he can carry the load. I think he has proven that.” Cal coach Jeff Tedford

In a college football offseason devoid of much meaningful Cal football news, Shane Vereen seems to be all over the place these days.

First, I caught wind that Vereen was following in his old man’s footsteps somewhat by working towards a possible future in sports broadcasting by interning at CSN Bay Area. Unlike his dad though, he may want to get in on the commentating/broadcasting side though. Good for Shane.

Then, the Cal football contingent caught wind that Vereen was snubbed by ESPN Ted Miller’s Annual Top 25 Conference Players List. Surely, it must have been an oversight in an otherwise long line of excellent work from Miller. Thinking though, that Ted Miller’s actual opinion was that there were 25 players better than Vereen, we Cal fans were pissed.

Being the well balanced fan that I am though, I started to get over it, until today, when Miller explained his rationale:.

“Polk and California's Shane Vereen pushed each other out of the list. Both had good but not great numbers. How could you include one and not the other?” -Ted Miller.

Hmm, good, but not great, eh? That was an interesting point, and one worth considering further. After locking myself in blog chamber (my bathroom) for a few hours, I began to eventually wrestle with the question that’s on a lot of fans’ minds, which is, “How good will Shane Vereen actually be?”

It’s worth noting that Vereen is hardly an unknown commodity. While Vereen has gotten plenty of reps in the backup role behind Jahvid Best for the last two years, he was the starter for the back third of the 2009 season after Best’s season ending injury. So it isn’t as if Cal fans don’t know what Vereen is capable of.

No, rather the question focuses on what Vereen will likely do on the field this year. We’ve seen what he can produce in spot duty, and the starter over part of a season, but how might those numbers be extrapolated over the course of an entire season as a number one back? It’s likely his yards per carry might drop (they usually do for backs making the transition from backup to starters), but by how much? How many yards will Vereen finish with by season’s end, and how will that compare to the line of quality Cal backs that have preceded him?


Vereen's Qualities
Before we launch into projecting stats, it’s worth quickly reviewing some of Vereen’s features as a back.

Vereen isn’t the largest back (5’10, 199 pounds according to CalBears.com) but has enough size to show durability and toughness in the trenches. He won’t move many piles on his own, but is a fearless worker between the tackles and has enough strength and aggressiveness to stay with the play to either break free from an arm tackle or wait for his offensive linemen to arrive and push forward for a few yards.

On a pure talent level, Vereen has everything you could want in a back. He’s shifty, changes direction with ease and finds holes in the defense. When he’s through the line, he kicks into a higher gear and is capable of rip off long runs.

Also, it’s worth noting that Vereen runs with many of the qualities that runningback coach Ron Gould preaches for every back: falling forward, crabwalking for extra yards, that extra half second of patience in waiting for cutback lanes, low pad level, etc…He just might be that prototypical back of the Gould school.

However, Vereen’s biggest strength is also coincidentally his biggest flaw: he does all things very well, but isn’t quite as spectacular in any one category. He is incredibly fast, but isn’t quite as likely to break as many runs as Jahvid Best. He’s probably a bit stronger than Best, but lacks the ferocity and sheer strength as Marshawn Lynch. He’s elusive, but isn’t quite as shifty and balanced as Justin Forsett. He has incredible vision, but hits the hole a step slower than JJ Arrington.

With all that said, I truly believe that Vereen might be the most balanced and complete back to play for the Bears during Tedford’s era. He doesn’t have any real glaring weaknesses. In addition to all of the aforementioned qualities, he’s above average in pass protection, and is just as much of a receiving threat as any back that has preceded him with the exception of perhaps Marshawn Lynch.

The question now is how all that might translate in terms of production in a full season as a starter.

The Yardage Number
Let’s take a look at Vereen’s stats from last year, courtesy of ESPN. (Click to expand)


Just by looking at the numbers at a cursory level, we should really pay attention to the games in which Vereen started, beginning with the Arizona game. In those four games as a starter, Vereen averaged 27 carries, and a terrific 141.5 yards per game.

Here’s a visual look at those stats for those interested.


To make the best sense of this, it is best to look at these numbers in context to the number of carries that Vereen received in these games. A single carry, 2 yard performance against Arizona State doesn’t reveal much.


What we can really deduce from this is that Vereen does best when he gets a healthy share of carries. He’s done his best work when he gets at least 15 carries. In all five games in which that’s happened (UCLA, AZ, Stan, Wash, Utah), he had his best yards per carry (5.8), and was most productive in terms of yardage gained (144 ypg). In each of those performances too, he broke off his longest runs of the season.

Conversely, Vereen’s weakest outings were ones in which he was limited to less than 10 carries. This would make sense in terms of yardage, but his yards per carry numbers also dropped as well.

It’s likely that his ypc numbers would drop in the games where he received fewer carries because he faced off against the more elite defenses in the conference (USC, OSU). There are enough examples to refute this hypothesis however (Minnesota, Eastern Washington), so it might actually be the case that Vereen runs harder and more productively the more carries he gets. It would fit in well with that workhorse type of mentality that Vereen has demonstrated in his brief time as a starter. The numbers show it: give Vereen a starter’s portion of carries (ie. at least 15 carries a game), and he’s more than likely to give you 100 ypg and at least 5.0 ypc.

Number of Carries
On that note, the conversation switches a bit to how many carries Vereen should expect to get each game. The coaching staff is obviously confident giving Vereen the rock (see Big Game 09), but is wary of overworking Vereen given his importance to the team so are unlikely to let him endure any more 40+ carry games (see Big Game 09).

Also, it’s worth noting that unlike the previous two years, the coaching staff isn’t as sold on any one backup tailback. 2010 might be more akin to the 2007 season, in which the unquestionable starter takes on more carries than previous starting backs, while two backs shuffle in splitting the backup carries.

Here’s a quick look back at the number of carries for each starter the past few seasons.

Justin Forsett averaged a ridiculous 23 carries per game in his senior season. Remember, that the coaches lacked enough confidence in either Best or Montgomery to take enough of the load off Forsett. At that point, Forsett was that much more reliable of a back.


Compared to Forsett, Jahvid Best carried the ball a “measly” 16.2 carries per game in his sophomore season as a starter and 16.5 carries per game his junior season (not counting the OSU game).


Even Marshawn “Beastmode” Lynch averaged 19.6 carries per game in his sophomore season and 17.1 carries per game in his junior season (though these number were likely reduced because of injury.)


Given this history, and Vereen’s propensity to succeed with enough carries, it’s not ridiculous to think that Vereen might carry the ball on average anywhere from 16 – 20 times per game, with my intuition thinking it’ll be closer to the latter. Don’t expect Vereen to consistently get 27 carries per game like he did in the final four games of the season though.

Receiving Yards
I won’t spend as much time here, because these numbers are a bit simpler to break down, but Vereen is a very good receiver, and is again set to be productive catching the ball this season.

Whether catching the ball out of the backfield, or lining up out wide as a receiver, look for Vereen to get anywhere from 20 – 30 catches, and somewhere in the range of 200+ yards on the season. While his routes aren’t quite as polished as Best’s, he’s still one of the team’s fastest players and consequently best deep threats, so look for him to get a couple of shots on some fly patterns as well as a number of swing passes.

Return Game
Short and simple: I’m hoping the Bears look to other options at the kick returner position (and they probably will). And it’s not for a lack of production. Vereen averaged nearly 23 yards per return, and was the Bears’ safest option at the position.

But with the projected increased workload, and his importance to the team, I’d like to see Isi Sofele and another player (perhaps an incoming freshman like Coleman Edward) get a shot at the KR spot.

Let Vereen get mentally ready, and bring him in ready to work on first down.

2010 Yardage Projection
I’m going out on a complete limb here. There are too many factors (the emergence of a backup RB, offensive line strength, etc) to make this any kind of accurate projection.

On one hand, I don’t expect Vereen to consistently rip off a 140+ yard per game performance throughout the entirety of the season. The season is simply too long for the coaching staff to subject Vereen to that much abuse.

On the other hand, I do see them relying on Vereen a bit more than they did Best, and based on his predictably increased workload, it’s not far fetched to imagine Vereen to carry the ball 20+ times a game.

I will say for kicks and giggles, that assuming Vereen can stay healthy, I foresee Vereen rushing anywhere 1320 to 1560 yards this season. If I had to be held to one number, I’d say 1450 yards for Vereen in 2010.

Yeah, I know it’s a big number. It’d be one of the best single seasons for a Cal back ever. But we’ve seen what he can do when the load’s on him. And the numbers can be extrapolated to support my projection quite nicely.

Bottom Line
Vereen has everything you want in a back. He’s probably escaped much national spotlight because he isn’t quite a beast in any one category, and because he’s played behind Best the past few years, but that will likely change by mid season come fall.

He’s a complete back, and a workhorse that will give your production with enough patience and the occasional highlight reel play. The closest conference back that I can think of that provides a similar type of play, tenacity and importance to his respective team is probably Jacquizz Rodgers (which is saying a lot because I think Quizz is an absolute stud of a player).

I’m hoping and predicting Vereen will establish himself as one of the premier backs in the conference as well as one of the top backs in Cal history. Heck, the numbers don’t lie. If Vereen continues to stay consistent, he may end up being Cal’s all-time leading back when it’s all said and done.

Let’s just see how good he can be this year.

“He’s a proven guy – a guy that I know is going to give us everything he has.”
Cal running backs coach Ron Gould.


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